So NEWS seems to be the only volleyball unit to have any juniors from Kansai Juniors, therefore making it an outlier. I didn't base my 2015 prediction off of NEWS for a variety of reasons, first and foremost because NEWS simply didn't work out, and I hope that Johnny realizes that. Secondly, NEWS was an outlier in another way, that they had that fake pre-debut before their debut, and I don't see that happening again, since I've heard that it was a ploy to get Yamapi to go along with it (this is all just rumours, of course). Third, I personally just don't know that much about the politics of Junior-dom in the period before NEWS debuted, what with 4Tops and such, and thus I can't really base my prediction off of it. And lastly, there was just as Kansai debut, and realistically speaking, Johnny's just doesn't debut that many people from Kansai.
I based my picks largely on Hey! Say! JUMP because I see JUMP as a really logical model for how a volleyball group might be built, and because I know them well. I picked the ani-gumi from well-known Tokyo junior circles and units (Yabu and Hikaru were from Ya-ya-yah while Inoo, Daiki, and Takaki were from J.J.Express), and then half the otouto-gumi from established Tokyo juniors (Yamada, Ryutaro, and Yuto were all groupless popular kids in their time) and left room for some unknowns (despite having been in Johnny's for a really long time, Chinen for whatever reason never really participated in Junior activities until about a year before his debut, and Keito was in Britain until his dad decided he should debut, and he was a junior for less than a year.) While I personally chose my picks thinking that there was a very low likelihood of Kansai juniors being included, it is possible that some of the fresh ones could be from Kansai, or, more unlikely in my opinion, that Fu and Kaoru could be replaced with the youngest two from Naniwa Ouji. The rest (Nishihata from Naniway Ouji; all of Kin Kan) are either flat out too old or would have to replace Jinguji and Genki, and I really don't see Johnny's compromising on that.
So that's my reasoning! I know I forgot some stuff from the comment that got eaten >___< But oh well. I'm sorry this turned into a mini essay either way! XD;
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timeasmymeasure
Part 2 of 2
Date: 2014-01-10 01:24 am (UTC)I based my picks largely on Hey! Say! JUMP because I see JUMP as a really logical model for how a volleyball group might be built, and because I know them well. I picked the ani-gumi from well-known Tokyo junior circles and units (Yabu and Hikaru were from Ya-ya-yah while Inoo, Daiki, and Takaki were from J.J.Express), and then half the otouto-gumi from established Tokyo juniors (Yamada, Ryutaro, and Yuto were all groupless popular kids in their time) and left room for some unknowns (despite having been in Johnny's for a really long time, Chinen for whatever reason never really participated in Junior activities until about a year before his debut, and Keito was in Britain until his dad decided he should debut, and he was a junior for less than a year.) While I personally chose my picks thinking that there was a very low likelihood of Kansai juniors being included, it is possible that some of the fresh ones could be from Kansai, or, more unlikely in my opinion, that Fu and Kaoru could be replaced with the youngest two from Naniwa Ouji. The rest (Nishihata from Naniway Ouji; all of Kin Kan) are either flat out too old or would have to replace Jinguji and Genki, and I really don't see Johnny's compromising on that.
So that's my reasoning! I know I forgot some stuff from the comment that got eaten >___< But oh well. I'm sorry this turned into a mini essay either way! XD;